Hi all
The idea of 100,000 person driver shortage was actually looked at by BBC Radio 4s More or Less program. The program specialises in looking at statements made by government and organisations to see if they actually hold up.
The figure of 100,000 is apparently derived from three different sources. The Office of National Statistics is responsible for the first two; one is the number of drivers who would have taken a HGV test but couldn't because of Covid so hopefully that's a a figure you can get a reasonable estimate for based on years of historic data. The second is an estimate of the number of EU HGV drivers that returned home to Europe in the run-up to brexit. Again whilst it's probably not an exact science my assumption is that the ONS would have a way of arriving at a reasonably accurate calculation and I would hope would state there was a margin for error.
The third figure and apparently about half of this 100,000 (IIRC), was a figure that the Road Haulage Association was bandying around before Covid hit.......
When More or Less contacted the Road Haulage Association to ask them how they arrived at that figure ........ and.......surprise, surprise they were unable to tell them....... Discuss!!!
ATB.
Andrew
The idea of 100,000 person driver shortage was actually looked at by BBC Radio 4s More or Less program. The program specialises in looking at statements made by government and organisations to see if they actually hold up.
The figure of 100,000 is apparently derived from three different sources. The Office of National Statistics is responsible for the first two; one is the number of drivers who would have taken a HGV test but couldn't because of Covid so hopefully that's a a figure you can get a reasonable estimate for based on years of historic data. The second is an estimate of the number of EU HGV drivers that returned home to Europe in the run-up to brexit. Again whilst it's probably not an exact science my assumption is that the ONS would have a way of arriving at a reasonably accurate calculation and I would hope would state there was a margin for error.
The third figure and apparently about half of this 100,000 (IIRC), was a figure that the Road Haulage Association was bandying around before Covid hit.......
When More or Less contacted the Road Haulage Association to ask them how they arrived at that figure ........ and.......surprise, surprise they were unable to tell them....... Discuss!!!
ATB.
Andrew
